Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.747996 2.116101 2.566533 3.166421 3.956969 4.981453 6.440584e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.264080 1.703318 2.323669 3.297968 4.858156 7.394108 1.215415e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.959439 1.383299 2.040421 3.196652 5.334120 9.498070 1.948946e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.812396 1.237305 1.948938 3.330455 6.242374 13.016525 3.424297e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.696665 1.106454 1.835278 3.367032 6.974673 16.827636 5.721063e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.595988 0.976669 1.685282 3.269670 7.352945 20.154043 8.794018e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.522659 0.880207 1.573042 3.211249 7.803888 24.297608 1.399268e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.490113 0.852501 1.589347 3.455538 9.279975 34.432147 3.075507e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.456910 0.816900 1.579872 3.633301 10.707497 47.360459 7.161994e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.416945 0.760751 1.512350 3.631184 11.522940 59.194928 1.540418e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.377654 0.700041 1.422143 3.534494 11.921483 69.786539 3.222566e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.353217 0.667358 1.392095 3.611364 13.169493 92.081920 1.166018e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.335600 0.647837 1.392771 3.798002 15.218320 134.227868 1.412914e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.313158 0.614510 1.352303 3.835621 16.598689 179.946331 2.651685e+07
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.286295 0.567606 1.267664 3.687526 16.788261 210.445088 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.273441 0.551719 1.263915 3.842572 19.166151 318.659016 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.258107 0.527920 1.233745 3.885266 20.894547 449.027214 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.239604 0.494292 1.169850 3.768266 21.294982 549.255570 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.224346 0.467050 1.120419 3.698248 22.073382 706.314747 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.219930 0.466323 1.149796 3.991220 26.767680 1441.253309 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.213507 0.459679 1.159985 4.205086 31.319733 2950.091873 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.202824 0.440776 1.128272 4.202535 33.495267 4819.044050 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.190772 0.417100 1.077640 4.086140 34.084619 6754.090723 NaN